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Poker stochastik

"Appendix D: The Monty Hall Controversy" (PDF).
Beispiel: Bei einem fairen, würfel (das heißt kein Ergebnis wird durch unsymmetrische Massenverteilung oder Ähnliches bevorzugt) überlegt man sich, dass jede Zahl die gleiche Chance hat und daher in 1/6 aller Versuche erscheinen wird.
In this variant, the poker set kaufen köln player can have different probabilities of winning depending on the observed choice of the host, but in any case the probability of winning by switching is at least 1/2 (and can be as high as 1 while the overall probability."Commission, Omission, and Dissonance Reduction: Coping with Regret in the "Monty Hall" Problem".Scientific American : 188.Diese Aussagen können sich auf vergangene oder zukünftige Ereignisse beziehen."The Mondee Gills Game" (PDF).

In her book The Power of Logical Thinking, vos Savant (1996,. .In the article, Hall pointed out that because he had control over the way the game progressed, playing on the psychology of the contestant, the theoretical solution did not apply to the show's actual gameplay.Parade Magazine :.The first letter presented the problem in a version close to its presentation in Parade 15 years later.If the host opens even a single door, the player is better off switching, but, if the host opens only one door, the advantage approaches zero as N grows large ( Granberg 1996:188 ).The, monty Hall problem is a brain teaser, in the form of a probability puzzle, loosely based on the American television game show.
Beitrag melden forumgehts?, 16:03.

Journal of Comparative Psychology.